COVID-19: Forecasting short term hospital needs in France by C. Massonnaud, J. Rouxet P. Crépey
In France, the COVID-19 epidemic raises concerns regarding healthcare capacity, particularly ICU. We estimated one month ahead the daily number of cases, hospitalizations, ICU beds and deaths per Region. The total number of infected cases is expected to range from 22900 to 162000 and all regional ICU capacities may soon be overrun. While mitigation measures may temper our results, a massive expansion of ICU capacities seems necessary to manage the coming wave of patients.
Read the article “Predicted French Hospital Needs (version EHESP-20200316)”